Saturday, 17 January 2015

Five men to follow at the Australian Open

The 2015 tennis season gets "properly" underway in the early hours of Monday morning as the Australian Open, the traditional first Grand Slam of the Year begins.

Four time champion Novak Djokovic is favourite for the men's title with Roger Federer who won his 1000th game recently and fit again Rafael Nadal not far behind. Defending champion Stanislas Wawrinka is sure to want a say as well.

Here are five men though that could also be making headlines in Melbourne over the next couple of weeks.

Andy Murray
It might seem an obvious choice to pick the man from Dunblane, but as Murray enters 2015 he stands at somewhat of a crossroads in his career. A difficult 2014 saw him struggle to reach his best form after returning from back surgery, though in the latter half of the season he did win three titles in the space of five weeks to ensure he reached the World Tour finals in London. A thrashing by Federer at the O2 ensured a terrible end to the year, in which he failed to reach a slam final for the first time since 2009.

Having kept faith in coach Amelie Mauresmo for now, the early signs in 2015 have been good for Murray. He might only have played in exhibition matches, but he notched up an impressive win over Nadal in Abu Dhabi as well as winning all three of his singles matches at the Hopman Cup.

In the close season, Murray made the tough decision to part ways with long time coach and hitting partner Dani Vallverdu as well as fitness coach Jez Green. Comments in recent days suggest Murray thinks he's in ideal shape to try and win a tournament at which he's reached the final at three times. He'll need to be fully fit as he's been handed a tough draw, which potentially pits him against his Wimbledon conqueror from last year Grigor Dimitrov in round four and then the trio of Federer, Nadal and Djokovic from the quarters onwards.

Murray does love the Melbourne hardcourts, but with the tough draw and the fact he is still searching for his best game, he heads into the tournament with an outside chance.

Kei Nishikori

The man from Japan made himself known to the wider public when he made it all the way to the US Open final last year before losing out to Marin Cilic. His victory over World Number one Novak Djokovic in the semi final showed all his capabilities as a top player and his form last year means he goes into this tournament as world number five and as a serious contender.

Coach Michael Chang has brought a new belief and aggression to Nishikori's game which enabled him to win four titles in 2014. His best run in Melbourne is a run to the quarter finals in 2012 but he is a much more dangerous prospect now as shown by wins over Djokovic, Federer and Murray last year.

A tricky first round tie against Spain's Nicolas Almagro awaits but Nishikori remains a great outside bet for the title.

Grigor Dimitrov

After starting to realise his potential in 2014, the big question now is can Dimitrov win a slam in 2015? He got into the world's top eight last year and is currently ranked 11th but has been tipped by John McEnroe to be the next new Grand Slam champion.

He showed his capabilities last year winning titles on three different surfaces as well as defeating defending champion Andy Murray at Wimbledon on his way to the semi finals. He also made the quarter finals in Melbourne in 2014 taking Nadal to four sets.

There are still big question marks over Dimitrov and whether he has the consistency and attitude of someone like Nishikori to go all the way in a slam as his form in the second half of 2014 tailed off badly meaning he missed out on the world tour finals in London. It seems inevitable that he will win a slam but he's been hyped up for so long, its easy to forget he's only 23. 

The draw hasn't been too kind to him with a first round tie against the energetic Dustin Brown potentially giving him a few headaches. A third round tie against David Goffin is a potential banana skin, but get through that and he could face Murray who will be keen to avenge his Wimbledon loss so he faces tough ties to even make the last eight in Australia, but on form he is more than capable of going deep into the tournament.

Dimitrov is frustrating and exciting to watch in equal measure, so that's why his progress is well worth following.


Nick Kyrgios

The Australian youngster who is still only 19 stunned the tennis world when he defeated Rafael Nadal in the fourth round at Wimbledon last year which included a winning shot he played through his legs. The teenager also defeated Richard Gasquet, a top ten player and 2007 Wimbledon semi finalist in the second round, leading to him being labelled as one of the stars of the future.

He subsequently made the third round of the US Open before skipping the rest of the season, saying he was burnt out. Fresh for 2015, big things are expected of Kyrgios who is now in the top 50 in the world. Winner of the junior title in Melbourne two years ago, he'll be hoping to make a big impression in the main draw. With a potential match up against Ivo Karlovic in round two, it won't be easy but with a home crowd backing him, he could be a surprise package down under.

David Goffin

Now ranked 22nd in the world, the Belgian won the comeback player of the year award in 2014. Having burst on the scene in 2012 when he reached the fourth round of the French Open after only getting in as a 'lucky loser', Goffin's career didn't go upwards as planned as he slipped to 110th in the world rankings. 

However, a first round defeat by Murray at Wimbledon last year spurred Goffin on to finally realise his potential. Between July and August he won four successive tournaments and although three of them were at Challenger level, winning 20 matches in a row took some going.

He then followed that up by winning the ATP final in Metz beating Jo Wilfried Tsonga along the way before reaching the Swiss Indoors final in October.

He'll be looking to get past the first round for the first time in Australia but with renewed confidence, he'll be feeling good about his chances.

My pick for the title remains Novak Djokovic, who excels on these courts but Nishikori is a great outside bet.


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