Tuesday 11 August 2015

The US PGA Championship: Who can tame Whistling Straits?

The US PGA Championship is upon us offering the best in men's golf a final shot at winning a Major Championship in 2015. Being played over the links-style Whistling Straits, the past two PGA Championships held on the course have went to play-offs in 2004 and 2010, so we could be in for some late drama come Sunday evening.

The course features almost 1,000 bunkers and one of those infamously cost Dustin Johnson an opportunity to win a Major when he grounded his club in sand on the 18th hole in 2010, without realising he was in a designated bunker. A two-shot penalty ensued meaning Johnson slipped down to fifth, after already missing a par putt to get into the play-off which Germany's Martin Kaymer went on to win.

That infamous bunker has now been covered up by a viewing area, but the rules are the same that all areas of the course that were built with bunkers and filled with sand will be played as bunkers. After Johnson's 'error' in 2010 though, it would be incredible to see someone fall foul of these rules again.

With the bunker issues out the way, it's time to start thinking about who is going to lift the Wanamaker Trophy on Sunday in Wisconsin. The favourite is Jordan Spieth, winner of this years Masters and US Open. He almost kept his hopes of winning all four Majors in one year alive at St Andrews, but missed out on the play-off by a shot, with the Claret Jug going to his countryman Zach Johnson.

However, at a best priced 7/1 currently there is little value in betting on the young American. Here are three men who can make your wallet a little bit bulkier heading into the office on Monday morning.

Jason Day (Australia) Best Price 14/1 (Various): Along with Dustin Johnson, the Australian has been the golfer who has been continuously knocking on the door bidding to win a first major over the last few years.

That 'Day' hasn't arrived yet for the 27 year old from Queensland but it's not through a lack of trying. He already has nine top tens in Majors, dating back to 2010 at Whistling Straits when he finished in a tie for tenth. Since then he has finished in the top two at both the Masters and US Open, and last month he only missed a play-off in The Open by a shot.

This course looks primed for Day to attack with his brilliant course management and he's a fan of links style course having secured that top five finish at the Open and also achieving a hugely admirable tied ninth placed finish at Chambers Bay in the US Open in June, despite suffering from his known Vertigo issues.

Only a disappointing final round of 74 stopped him from truly contending last time out here and having bounced back from Open disappointment with a win at the Canadian Open the week after, Day looks mentally primed to finally lift a Major.

Louis Oosthuizen (South Africa) Best Price 40/1 (Various): Having narrowly missed out on delivering for me at the Open, I'm again putting my faith in the South African, who of course did win the Open in 2010.

It has been a welcome return to form for Oosthuizen this year, after several struggles with injuries and if his putting had been better on the Monday at St Andrews he would surely have walked away with a second Claret Jug.

Furthermore, he would have won the US Open at Chambers Bay if it hadn't been for a horrible first round of 77. Oosthuizen went 66-66-67 over the other three days on a course not a million miles away from Whistling Straits, although this weeks course has greens that are much more accessible and easy to putt on.

He might have missed the cut here in 2010, but that was off the back of coping with being Open champion. Five years on, he is swinging back to his best and he'll be annoyed if this is a year where he walks away empty handed in the Majors. 40/1 is a terrific bet.

Robert Streb (USA) Best Price 90/1 (Coral): This might be a name unfamiliar to casual golf fans but the long odds being offered on Streb this week seem incredible to me. Of course it is an entirely different proposition from taking regular PGA Tour event form onto a Major Championship course, but Streb who is currently ranked fifth in the Fed Ex Cup standings is too good to ignore at this price.

He has been 'Mr Consistency' this season and comes into the championship with eight top tens and 13 top 25's this season in 25 PGA Tour events. He's also a winner on the PGA Tour this season, albeit back in October 2014 at the McGladrey Classic.

However, his recent form has been impressive too. He was in contention at the Open until a Monday final round of 73 saw him slip into a tie for 18th, but anyone who shoots 66 round the Old Course can't be sniffed at. He followed that up with a fifth placed finish in the Bridgestone Invitational last week and he hasn't missed a cut since the end of April. Results since then have included top five finishes at the Wells Fargo and the Greenbrier Classic.

The PGA Championship is notorious for throwing up surprise winners; think Rich Beem, Shaun Micheel and Y.E.Yang and it might just happen for Streb this week. Certainly worth an E/W bet.

One final footnote for this weeks championship is of course, how will Rory McIlroy do? The defending champion and World Number One is just off a serious ankle injury which kept him out of defending his Open title at St Andrews. He doesn't look to be suffering any effects so far during his practice rounds, but tournament golf is altogether a different proposition.

If he feels ready though and this is a course which he finished tied third on in the 2010 PGA, then you can't rule out the Northern Irishman.